Agenda for virtual OCB2021
Friday, June 11, 2021
| 12:00-12:15pm EDT Breakout Room |
WELCOME 12:00-12:10 Day's activities and instructions (Heather Benway, WHOI/OCB)12:10-12:15 ePosterboards overview (Mike Elliott, ePosterboards) |
| 12:15-2:15 Breakout Room |
OCB PLENARY SESSION Opportunities and challenges in ecological forecasting 12:15-12:20 Session introduction (Antonietta Capotondi, NOAA Physical Science Laboratory) 12:20-12:40 LIVE Plenary talk: Current state-of-the-art in ecological forecasting (Charles Stock, NOAA/GFDL) 12:40-12:50 Audience Q&A (Moderators: Victoria Coles, UMCES) 12:50-12:55 Breakout instructions (Victoria Coles, UMCES) 12:55-1:30 Breakout Discussion Part 1: Physical Settings (on Floors 1-4) - see discussion Qs on the whiteboard at your table 1:30-1:35 Go to floors 5-8 and switch topic tables 1:35-2:10 Breakout Discussion Part 2: Forecasting targets (on Floors 5-8) - see discussion Qs on the whiteboard at your table 2:10-2:15 Wrap-up and Synthesis: Breakout reporters will stay (breakout 2, floors 5-8) or move (breakout 1, floors 1-4) back to their tables to synthesize the conversations on the white boards 2:15 Adjourn session |
| 2:15-2:30 Bio break/informal networking Lobby |
|
| 2:30-3:15 Poster Hall |
POSTER SESSION - see poster directory in the ePosterboards platform side menu or: VIRTUAL POSTER GALLERYPOSTER DIRECTORY (and presentation assignments) |
| 3:15-4:15 Breakout Room |
Justice, Equity, Diversity, and Inclusion: Striving to do better in OCB and the ocean sciences 3:15-3:30 Introduction and OCB diversity survey results (Victoria Coles, UMCES; P. Dreux Chappell, ODU; Heather Benway, OCB/WHOI) 3:30-4:00 Ocean JEDI Action Discussion - Each table is tasked to come up with at least 3 JEDI action items we can take as individuals, institutions, and/or ocean networks (share on the JEDI Jamboard 4:00-4:15 Invite participants to share discussion outcomes |
| 4:15-5:15 Lobby |
Happy hour! |
| 5:15 Adjourn for day | |
Plenary: Opportunities and challenges in ecological forecasting
Chairs: Victoria Coles (Univ. Maryland Center for Environmental Science), Antonietta Capotondi (NOAA Physical Science Laboratory), Marjy Friedrichs (Virginia Inst. of Marine Science), Raleigh Hood (Univ. Maryland Center for Environmental Science), Susanne Menden-Deuer (Univ. Rhode Island), Charles Stock (NOAA Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory)
Marine ecosystems have great value, supporting fisheries, aquaculture, tourism, recreation and shipping, as well as interacting dynamically with the climate system. Each of these human and natural systems have different forecasting needs. The functioning of ecosystems is strongly influenced by climate variability, which influences processes such as sea level, temperature, salinity, dissolved oxygen, nutrients and pH. Modeling and prediction of higher order ecosystem processes to date have often relied on empirical statistical methods which are computationally efficient and have high skill. However, as conditions increasingly deviate from climatological norms, these methods may require re-evaluation. Prediction in a changing world requires developing mechanistic understanding to underpin observed statistical relationships, and consistent datasets for model development and validation. This session will begin with a brief summary overview of current efforts by Charles Stock (NOAA Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory), followed by breakout discussions aimed at:
- Brainstorming common and uniquely place-based ecological forecasting opportunities, challenges and needs across regions
- Developing networks of interdisciplinary early career and established researchers interested in ecological forecasting
- Building frameworks for discussion at a joint OCB and US CLIVAR sponsored ecological forecasting workshop planned for Spring 2022
We anticipate providing discussion breakout summaries on a workshop website to further stimulate online discussion and networking.
