Publications: Jeff P. Donnelly

*Rodysill, J. R., J. P. Donnelly, R. Sullivan, P. D. Lane, M. Toomey, J. D. Woodruff, A. D. Hawkes, D. MacDonald, N. d’Entremont, K. McKeon, E. Wallace, P. J. van Hengstum (2020). Historically unprecedented Northern Gulf of Mexico hurricane activity from 650 to 1250 CE. Scientific Reports.
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Winkler, T. S., P. J. van Hengstum, J. P. Donnelly, E. J. Wallace, R. M. Sullivan, D. MacDonald, N. A. Albury (2020) Revising evidence of hurricane strikes on Abaco Island (The Bahamas) over the last 700 years. Scientific Reports.
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*Bramante, J. F., A. D. Ashton, C. D. Storlazzi, O. M. Cheriton, J. P. Donnelly (2020). Sea-level rise will drive divergent sediment transport patterns on fore reefs and reef flats, potentially causing erosion on atoll islands. Journal of Geophysical Research – Earth Surface.
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*Bramante, J. F., M.R. Ford, P.S. Kench, A.D. Ashton, M.R. Toomey, R. Sullivan, K.B. Karnauskas, C.C. Ummenhofer, Donnelly, J. P. (2020). Increased Little Ice Age typhoon activity in the Pacific deep tropics driven by circulation changes. Nature Geoscience.
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*Bramante, J. F., Perron, J. T., Ashton, A. D., & Donnelly, J. P. (2020). Experimental quantification of bedrock abrasion under oscillatory flow. Geology, 48(6), 541–545. https://doi.org/10.1130/G47089.1
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*Pearl, J. K., Anchukaitis, K. J., Donnelly, J. P., Pearson, C., Pederson, N., Lardie Gaylord, M. C., et al. (2020). A late Holocene subfossil Atlantic white cedar tree-ring chronology from the northeastern United States. Quaternary Science Reviews, 228, 106104. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2019.106104
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*Pearl, J. K., Anchukaitis, K. J., Pederson, N., & Donnelly, J. P. (2020). Multivariate Climate Field Reconstructions Using Tree Rings for the Northeastern United States. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 125(1). https://doi.org/10.1029/2019JD031619
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Sullivan, R. M., van Hengstum, P. J., Donnelly, J. P., Winkler, T. S., Mark, S. E., & Albury, N. A. (2020). Absolute and relative dating of human remains in a Bahamian sinkhole (Great Cistern, Abaco). Journal of Archaeological Science: Reports, 32, 102441. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jasrep.2020.102441

Tamalavage, A. E., Hengstum, P. J. van, Louchouarn, P., Fall, P. L., Donnelly, J. P., Albury, N. A., et al. (2020). Plant wax evidence for precipitation and vegetation change from a coastal sinkhole lake in the Bahamas spanning the last 3,000 years. Organic Geochemistry, 104120. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.orggeochem.2020.104120
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*Wallace, E. J., Donnelly, J. P., van Hengstum, P. J., Wiman, C., Sullivan, R. M., Winkler, T. S., d’Entremont, N. E., Toomey, M., Albury, N. A. (2019). Intense Hurricane Activity Over the Past 1500 Years at South Andros Island, The Bahamas. Paleoceanography and Paleoclimatology, 34(11), 1761–1783. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019PA003665
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van Hengstum, P. J., Winkler, T. S., Tamalavage, A. E., Sullivan, R. M., Little, S. N., MacDonald, D., Donnelly, J. P., Albury N. (2020). Holocene sedimentation in a blue hole surrounded by carbonate tidal flats in The Bahamas: Autogenic versus allogenic processes. Marine Geology, 419, 106051. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.margeo.2019.106051
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Hanke, U.M., A.L. Lima-Braun, T.I. Eglinton, J.P. Donnelly, V. Galy, P. Poussart, K. Hughen, A.P. McNichol, L. Xu, C.M. Reddy, (2019) Significance of Perylene for Source Allocation of Terrigenous Organic Matter in Aquatic Sediments”, Environ. Sci. Technol. v. 53 p. 8244-8251.
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Gonneea, M.E., C.V. Maio, K.D. Kroeger, A. D. Hawkes, J. Mora, R. Sullivan, S. Madsen, R.M. Buzard, N. Cahill, J.P. Donnelly, (2019) “Salt marsh ecosystem restructuring enhances elevation resilience and carbon storage during accelerating relative sea-level rise”, Estuarine Coastal and Shelf Science V. 217, p. 56-68. doi.org/10.1016/j.ecss.2018.11.003.
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Toomey, M.T., M. Cantwell, S. Colman, T. Cronin, J.P. Donnelly, L. Giosan, C. Heil, R. Korty, M. Marot, D. Willard. (2018) “The mighty Susquehanna—extreme floods in Eastern North America during the past two millennia.” Geophysical Research Letters v. 46 p. 3398-3407. doi.org/10.1029/2018GL080890
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*Castagno, K.A., A.M. Jiménez-Robles, J.P. Donnelly, P.L. Wiberg, M.S. Fenster, and S. Fagherazzi. (2018) “Intense storms increase the stability of coastal bays.” Geophysical Research Letters, v. 4, 5491-5500.
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van Hengstum, P.J., G. Maale, J.P. Donnelly, N.A. Albury, B.P. Onac, R. Sullivan, T.S. Winkler, A.E. Tamalavage, and D. MacDonald. (2018) “Drought in the northern Bahamas from 3300 to 2500 years ago.” Quaternary Science Reviews,  V.186, 15 April 2018, Pages 169-185.
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Tamalavage, A.E., P.J. van Hengstum, P. Louchouarn, S. Molodtsov, K. Kaiser, J.P. Donnelly, N.A. Albury, P.L. Fall. (2018) “Organic matter sources and lateral sedimentation in a Bahamian karst basin (sinkhole) over the late Holocene: Influence of local vegetation and climate.” Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology, v. 50, p. 70-83.
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Garner, A.J., M.E. Mann, K.A. Emanuel, R.E. Kopp, N. Lin, R.B. Alley, B.P. Horton, R.M. DeConto, J.P. Donnelly, and D. Pollard, (2018) “New York City’s evolving flood risk from hurricanes and sea level rise” VARIATIONS/EXCHANGES – Winter 2018,  Vol. 16, No. 1
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*Munoz, S.E., L. Giosan, M.D. Therrell, J.W.F. Remo, Z. Shen, R.M. Sullivan, C. Wiman, M. O’Donnell, and J.P. Donnelly. (2018) “Climatic control of Mississippi River flood hazard amplified by river engineering.” Nature V. 556, p. 95–98
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Karnauskas, K.B., C.F. Schleussner, J.P. Donnelly, K.J. Anchukaitis.  (2018) “Freshwater Stress on Small Island Developing States: Population Projections and Aridity Changes at 1.5°C and 2°C.” Regional Environmental Change (published online May 2018). 

 

Giosan, L., W.D. Orsi, M. Coolen, C. Wuchter, A.G. Dunlea, K. Thirumalai, S.E. Munoz, P.D. Clift, J.P. Donnelly, V. Galy, D. Fuller. (2018) “Neoglacial Climate Anomalies and the Harappan Metamorphosis.” Climate of the Past (published online 4/4/18). 

*Pearl, J.K., K.J. Anchukaitis, N. Pederson, and J.P. Donnelly. (2017) “Reconstructing Northeastern United States temperatures using Atlantic white cedar tree rings.” Environmental Research Letters, v. 12, 114012.
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Garner, A.J., M.E. Mann, K.A. Emanuel, R.E. Kopp, N. Lin, R.B. Alley, B.P. Horton, R.M. DeConto, J.P. Donnelly, and D. Pollard, The Impact of Climate Change on New York City’s Coastal Flood Hazard: Increasing Flood Heights from the Pre-Industrial to 2300 CE, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 114 (45) 11861-11866 (November 7, 2017). 
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*Toomey, M.R., R.L. Korty, J.P. Donnelly, P.J. van Hengstum and W.B Curry, 2017,  “Impact of abrupt cooling on storminess near Florida during the Younger Dryas”. Geology v. 45 (11): 1047-1050. 
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Zhang, L., T. Rechtman, K. B. Karnauskas,L. Li, J. P. Donnelly, and J. P. Kossin, 2017, Longwave emission trends over Africa and implications for Atlantic hurricanes, Geophys. Res. Lett., 44,9075–9083, doi:10.1002/2017GL073869
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Brain, M.J., A.C. Kemp, A.D. Hawkes, S.E. Engelhart, C.H. Vane, N. Cahill, T.D. Hill, J.P. Donnelly, and B.P. Horton, 2017, Exploring mechanisms of compaction in salt-marsh sediments using Common Era relative sea-level reconstructions, Quaternary Science Reviews 167, 96-111.
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Pausata, F.S.R., K.A. Emanuel, M. Chiacchio, G.T. Diro, Q. Zhang, L. Sushama, J.C. Stager, and J.P. Donnelly, 2017, Tropical cyclone activity enhanced by Sahara greening and reduced dust emissions during the African Humid Period, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 114, no. 24, 6221-6226.
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Zhang, L., K. B.  Karnauskas, J.P. Donnelly, and K. Emanuel, 2017, Response of the North Pacific Tropical Cyclone Climatology to Global Warming: Application of Dynamical Downscaling to CMIP5 Models, Journal of Climate, 30(4), 1233-1243.
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Lin, N., R. Kopp, B.P. Horton, and J.P. Donnelly, 2016, Hurricane Sandy’s flood frequency increasing from year 1800 to 2100, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 113(33), 12071–12075, doi: 10.1073/pnas.1604386113.
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*Maio, C.V., J.P. Donnelly, R. Sullivan, S.M. Madsen, C.R. Weidman, A.M. Gontz, and V.A. Sheremet, 2016, Sediment dynamics and hydrographic conditions during storm passage, Waquoit Bay, Massachusetts. Marine Geology, 381, 67-86.
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*Hawkes, A.H., A.C. Kemp, J.P. Donnelly, B.P. Horton, R.W. Peltier, N. Cahill, D.F. Hill, E. Ashe, C.R. Alexander, 2016, Relative sea-level change in northeastern Florida (USA) during the last ~8.0 KA, Quaternary Science Reviews, 142, 90-101.
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*Toomey, M.R., J.D. Woodruff, J.P. Donnelly, A. Ashton, J.T. Perron, 2016, Seismic evidence of glacial-age river incision into the Tahaa barrier reef, French Polynesia, Marine Geology, 380, 284-289.
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*Toomey, M.R., J.P. Donnelly, J.E. Tierney, 2016, South Pacific hydrologic and cyclone variability during the last 3,000 years: Paleoceanography, v. 31 491-504. DOI: 10.1002/2015PA002870 
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Karnauskas, K.B., J.P. Donnelly, K.J. Anchukaitis, 2016, Future Freshwater Stress for Island Populations: Nature Climate Change. v. 6, 720–725. DOI:10.1038/nclimate2987
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*van Hengstum, P.J., J.P. Donnelly, P.L. Fall, M.R. Toomey, N.A. Albury, B. Kakuk, 2016, The intertropical convergence zone modulates intense hurricane strikes on the western North Atlantic margin: Scientific Reports (Nature), 6: 21728, DOI: 10.1038/srep2172.
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Winkler, T. S., P. J. van Hengstum, M. C. Horgan, J. P. Donnelly, and J. H. Reibenspies, 2016, Detrital cave sediments record Late Quaternary hydrologic and climatic variability in northwestern Florida, USA: Sedimentary Geology, 335, 51-65.
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Brandon, C.M., J.D. Woodruff, J.P. Donnelly, P.M. Orton, 2016, Evidence for Elevated Coastal Vulnerability Following Oyster Bed Disturbance: Earth Surface Processes and Landforms. 41(8), 1136–1143.
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Kopp, R.E., A.C. Kemp, K. Bittermann, B.P. Horton, J.P. Donnelly, W.R. Gehrels, C.C. Hay, J.X. Mitrovica, E.D. Morrow, S. Rahmstorf, 2016, Temperature-driven global sea-level variability in the Common Era: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, vol. 113, E1434-E144, doi: 10.1073/pnas.1517056113. (Ranked 73rd in Altmetric’s top 100 articles of 2016)
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Reed, A.J., M.E. Mann, K.A. Emanuel, N. Lin, B.P. Horton, A.C. Kemp, and J.P. Donnelly, 2016, Increased threat of tropical cyclones and coastal flooding to New York City during the anthropogenic era: Proc. Nat. Acad. Sci., v. 112, p. 12610-12615, DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1513127112
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Kemp, A., A.D. Hawkes, J.P. Donnelly, C.H. Vane, B.P. Horton, T.D. Hill, S.C. Anisfeld, A.C. Parnell, N. Cahill, 2015, Relative sea-level change in Connecticut (USA) during the last 2200 years: Earth and Planetary Science Letters, v. 428, 217-229.
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Lindeman, K.C., L.E. Dame, C.B. Avenarius, B.P. Horton, J.P. Donnelly, D.R. Corbett, A.C. Kemp, P. Lane, M.E. Mann, and W.R. Peltier, 2015, Science needs for sea-level adaptation planning: comparisons among three U.S. Atlantic coast regions: Coastal Management, v. 43, p. 555-574.
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Karnauskas, K B., J.P. Donnelly, H.C. Barkley, and J.E. Martin, 2015, Coupling between air travel and climate: Nature Climate Change, v. 5, 1068–1073, doi:10.1038/nclimate2715.
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Gregory, B.R.B., M. Peros, E.G. Reinhardt, J.P. Donnelly, 2015, Middle-late Holocene Caribbean aridity inferred from foraminifera and elemental data in sediment cores from two Cuban lagoons: Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology. v. 426, p. 229-241.
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Donnelly, J.P., A.D. Hawkes, P. Lane, D. MacDonald, B.N. Shuman, M.R. Toomey, P.J. van Hengstum, 2015, Climate Forcing of Unprecedented Intense-Hurricane Activity in the Last 2,000 Years: Earth’s Future (AGU).
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*van Hengstum, P.J., J.P. Donnelly, A.W. Kingston, B.E. William, D.B. Scott, E.G. Reinhardt, S.N. Little, W.P. Patterson, 2015, Late Holocene storminess and climate in Bermuda from a coastal submarine cave: Paleoceanography.
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Brandon, C.M., J.D. Woodruff, J.P. Donnelly, R. Sullivan, How Unique was Hurricane Sandy? Sedimentary Reconstructions of Extreme Flooding from New York Harbor: Scientific Reports 4, Article number: 7366, doi:10.1038/srep07366
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*Maio, C.V., A.M. Gontz, R. Sullivan, S.M. Madsen, C.R. Weidman, and J.P. Donnelly, Subsurface Geologic Signatures of Storm Driven Breaching Along a Transgressing Barrier System, Cape Cod, USA: Journal of Coastal Research (in press)
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Kemp, A.C., C.E. Bernhardt, B.P. Horton, R.E. Kopp, C.H. Vane, W. R. Peltier, A.D. Hawkes, J.P. Donnelly, A.C. Parnell, and N. Cahill, 2014, Late Holocene sea-and land-level change on the US southeastern Atlantic coast: Marine Geology, v. 357, p. 90-100.
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Coverdale, T.C., C.P. Brisson, E.W. Young, S.F. Yin, J.P. Donnelly, and M.D. Bertness, 2014, Indirect human impacts reverse centuries of carbon sequestration and salt marsh accretion: PloS one v. 9, no. 3: e93296.
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*Newby, P.E., B.N. Shuman, J.P. Donnelly, K. Karnauskas, and J. Marsice, 2014, Centennial‐to‐millennial hydrologic trends and variability along the North Atlantic Coast, USA, during the Holocene: Geophysical Research Letters v. 41, no. 12, p. 4300-4307.
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*Maio, C.V., A.M. Gontz, C.R. Weidman, and J.P. Donnelly, 2014, Late Holocene marine transgression and the drowning of a coastal forest: Lessons from the past, Cape Cod, Massachusetts, USA: Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology, v. 393, p. 146-158.
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Lin, N., P. Lane, K.A. Emanuel, R.M. Sullivan, and J.P. Donnelly, 2014, Heightened hurricane surge risk in northwest Florida revealed from climatological‐hydrodynamic modeling and paleorecord reconstruction: Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres v. 119, no. 14, p. 8606-8623.
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Wallace, D.J., J.D., Woodruff, J.B. Anderson, and J.P. Donnelly, 2014, Palaeohurricane reconstructions from sedimentary archives along the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea and western North Atlantic Ocean margins: Geological Society, London, Special Publications v. 388, SP388-12.
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Donnelly, J.P., J.B. Anderson, A.D. Hawkes, E. Otvos, M.R. Toomey, P.J. van Hengstum, D. Wallace, J.D. Woodruff, 2014, COMMENT on “The geological legacy of Hurricane Irene: Implications for the fidelity of the paleo-storm record”: GSA Today, v. 24, no. 4/5, p.e28, doi: 10.1130/GSATG205C.1.
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Kovacs, S.E., P.J. van Hengstum, E.G. Reinhardt, J.P. Donnelly, and N.A. Albury, 2013, Late Holocene sedimentation and hydrologic development in a shallow coastal sinkhole on Great Abaco Island, The Bahamas: Quaternary International, v. 317, p. 118-132.
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*van Hengstum, P.J., J.P. Donnelly, M.R. Toomey, N.A. Albury, P. Lane, and B. Kakuk, 2014, Heightened hurricane activity from 1350 to 1550 AD on the Little Bahama Bank: Continental Shelf Research (http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.csr.2013.04.032)
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Brandon, C., J.D. Woodruff, P. Lane, J.P. Donnelly, 2013, Tropical cyclone wind speed constraints from resultant storm surge deposition: A 2500 year reconstruction of hurricane activity from St. Marks, FL: Geochemistry, Geophysics, Geosystems, DOI: 10.1002/ggge.20217
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*Toomey, M.R., J.P. Donnelly, J.D. Woodruff, 2013, Reconstructing mid-late Holocene cyclone variability in the Central Pacific using sedimentary records from Tahaa, French Polynesia: Quaternary Science Reviews, v. 77, p. 181-189.
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*Carruthers, E.A., P. Lane, R.E. Evans, J.P. Donnelly, A.A. Ashton, 2013, Quantifying overwash flux in barrier systems: An example from Martha’s Vineyard, Massachusetts, USA: Marine Geology, v. 343, p. 15-28.
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*Toomey, M.R., W. Curry, J.P. Donnelly, J.P., P.V. van Hengstum, 2013. Reconstructing 7000 years of North Atlantic hurricane variability using deep-sea sediment cores from the western Great Bahama Bank. Paleoceanography, v. 28, p. 31-41.
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Gill, J.L., J.W. Williams, S.T. Jackson, J.P. Donnelly, G.C. Schellinger, 2012, Climatic and megaherbivory controls on late-glacial vegetation dynamics: a new, high-resolution, multi-proxy record from Silver Lake, Ohio: Quaternary Science Reviews, v. 34, p. 66-80.
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*Lane, P., J.P. Donnelly, J.D. Woodruff, and A. Hawkes, 2011, A decadally-resolved paleohurricane record archived in the late Holocene sediments of a Florida sinkhole: Marine Geology, v. 287, 14-30.
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Kemp, A.C., B.P. Horton, J.P. Donnelly, M.E. Mann, M. Vermeer, and S. Rahmstorf, 2011, Climate related sea-level variations over the past two millennia: Proc. Nat. Acad. Sci., v. 108, p. 11017-11022.
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Kirwin, M., A.B. Murray, J.P. Donnelly, and D.R. Corbett, 2011, Rapid wetland expansion during European settlement and its implication for marsh survival under modern sediment delivery rates: Geology, v. 39, 507-510.
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Boldt, K.V., P. Lane, J.D. Woodruff, J.P. Donnelly, and J. Donnelly, “Calibrating a sedimentary record of overwash from Southeastern New England using modeled historic hurricane surges,”Marine Geology v. 275, p. 127-139, 2010.
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Carlson, A.E., J.S. Stoner, J.P. Donnelly, and C. Hillaire-Marcel, “Response of the Southern Greenland Ice Sheet during the last two deglaciations,” Geology, v. 36, no. 5, p. 359-362., 2008.
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Ashton, A.D., J.P. Donnelly, and R.L. Evans, “A discussion of the potential impacts of climate change on teh shorelines of the Northeastern USA,” Mitig Adapt Strat Glob Change , sl 1027-007-9124-3., 2007.
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Donnelly, J.P., J. Butler, S. Roll, Micah Wengren, and T. Webb III, “A backbarrier overwash record of intense storms from Brigantine, New Jersey,” Marine Geology, v. 210, p.107-121., 2004.
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